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TACOBOT PROJECTIONS

Week 5 Starters: TE

These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.

These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).

Top 5 TE starters

  1. #1 TE

    Trey McBride

    ARI • vs DET

    10.8Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorHighest top-5 probability
    Mean Fantasy Points
    10.8
    80% Range
    3.1–20.3
    Floor
    3.1
    Ceiling
    20.3
    Volatility
    6.9
    Expected Targets
    6.4
    Expected Carries
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    31%
    Top-12 Probability
    53%

    TacoBot expects 6.4 targets and gives him a 31% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    052 fantasy points
    ● P10: 3.1● Median: 9.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 10.8● P90: 20.3
  2. #2 TE

    Brock Bowers

    LV • vs NE

    10.8Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest ceiling
    Mean Fantasy Points
    10.8
    80% Range
    3.0–20.3
    Floor
    3.0
    Ceiling
    20.3
    Volatility
    7.0
    Expected Targets
    6.6
    Expected Carries
    0.1
    Top-5 Probability
    31%
    Top-12 Probability
    53%

    TacoBot expects 6.6 targets and gives him a 31% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -156 fantasy points
    ● P10: 3.0● Median: 9.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 10.8● P90: 20.3
  3. #3 TE

    George Kittle

    SF • vs SEA

    9.3Mean Fantasy Points

    Most volatile
    Mean Fantasy Points
    9.3
    80% Range
    1.5–19.4
    Floor
    1.5
    Ceiling
    19.4
    Volatility
    7.3
    Expected Targets
    4.2
    Expected Carries
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    25%
    Top-12 Probability
    43%

    TacoBot expects 4.2 targets and gives him a 25% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -163 fantasy points
    ● P10: 1.5● Median: 7.7● Mean Fantasy Points: 9.3● P90: 19.4
  4. #4 TE

    Sam LaPorta

    DET • vs ARI

    8.6Mean Fantasy Points

    Most stable
    Mean Fantasy Points
    8.6
    80% Range
    1.6–17.5
    Floor
    1.6
    Ceiling
    17.5
    Volatility
    6.5
    Expected Targets
    4.5
    Expected Carries
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    21%
    Top-12 Probability
    39%

    TacoBot expects 4.5 targets and gives him a 21% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -163 fantasy points
    ● P10: 1.6● Median: 7.2● Mean Fantasy Points: 8.6● P90: 17.5
  5. #5 TE

    Tucker Kraft

    GB • vs CHI

    8.1Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    8.1
    80% Range
    1.1–17.1
    Floor
    1.1
    Ceiling
    17.1
    Volatility
    6.6
    Expected Targets
    4.1
    Expected Carries
    0.2
    Top-5 Probability
    19%
    Top-12 Probability
    36%

    TacoBot expects 4.1 targets and gives him a 19% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -254 fantasy points
    ● P10: 1.1● Median: 6.5● Mean Fantasy Points: 8.1● P90: 17.1

forecast: 10/6/2026 · model: connected-plays-v3-qb-situational · run: 20261006T185955396012-f441baca9e00

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