TACOBOT PROJECTIONS
Week 5 Starters: RB
These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.
These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).
Top 5 RB starters
#1 RB
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET • vs ARI
21.1Mean Fantasy Points
Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorMost volatileHighest top-5 probability- Mean Fantasy Points
- 21.1
- 80% Range
- 9.5–34.0
- Floor
- 9.5
- Ceiling
- 34.0
- Volatility
- 9.6
- Expected Carries
- 18.5
- Expected Targets
- 4.3
- Top-5 Probability
- 58%
- Top-12 Probability
- 78%
TacoBot expects 4.3 targets and gives him a 58% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 9.5● Median: 19.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 21.1● P90: 34.0 #2 RB
Bijan Robinson
ATL • vs BAL
16.3Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 16.3
- 80% Range
- 6.8–27.7
- Floor
- 6.8
- Ceiling
- 27.7
- Volatility
- 8.3
- Expected Carries
- 16.5
- Expected Targets
- 4.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 36%
- Top-12 Probability
- 60%
TacoBot expects 4.0 targets and gives him a 36% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 6.8● Median: 15.0● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.3● P90: 27.7 #3 RB
Christian McCaffrey
SF • vs SEA
15.2Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 15.2
- 80% Range
- 5.7–26.4
- Floor
- 5.7
- Ceiling
- 26.4
- Volatility
- 8.2
- Expected Carries
- 12.4
- Expected Targets
- 4.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 32%
- Top-12 Probability
- 54%
TacoBot expects 4.1 targets and gives him a 32% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 5.7● Median: 14.0● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.2● P90: 26.4 #4 RB
Chase Brown
CIN • vs MIA
14.1Mean Fantasy Points
Most stable- Mean Fantasy Points
- 14.1
- 80% Range
- 5.5–24.4
- Floor
- 5.5
- Ceiling
- 24.4
- Volatility
- 7.5
- Expected Carries
- 12.3
- Expected Targets
- 4.2
- Top-5 Probability
- 26%
- Top-12 Probability
- 49%
TacoBot expects 4.2 targets and gives him a 26% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 5.5● Median: 12.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.1● P90: 24.4 #5 RB
Derrick Henry
BAL • vs ATL
13.9Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 13.9
- 80% Range
- 5.1–24.6
- Floor
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 24.6
- Volatility
- 7.8
- Expected Carries
- 17.6
- Expected Targets
- 1.5
- Top-5 Probability
- 26%
- Top-12 Probability
- 47%
TacoBot expects 1.5 targets and gives him a 26% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 5.1● Median: 12.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 13.9● P90: 24.6