TACOBOT PROJECTIONS
Week 3 Starters: WR
These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.
These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).
Top 5 WR starters
#1 WR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET • vs NYJ
15.2Mean Fantasy Points
Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorMost volatileHighest top-5 probability- Mean Fantasy Points
- 15.2
- 80% Range
- 5.4–26.6
- Floor
- 5.4
- Ceiling
- 26.6
- Volatility
- 8.6
- Expected Targets
- 8.0
- Expected Carries
- 0.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 26%
- Top-12 Probability
- 44%
TacoBot expects 8.0 targets and gives him a 26% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 5.4● Median: 13.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.2● P90: 26.6 #2 WR
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA • vs WAS
14.2Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 14.2
- 80% Range
- 4.6–25.3
- Floor
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Volatility
- 8.2
- Expected Targets
- 7.9
- Expected Carries
- 0.2
- Top-5 Probability
- 23%
- Top-12 Probability
- 39%
TacoBot expects 7.9 targets and gives him a 23% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 4.6● Median: 12.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.2● P90: 25.3 #3 WR
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN • vs PIT
12.1Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 12.1
- 80% Range
- 3.4–22.7
- Floor
- 3.4
- Ceiling
- 22.7
- Volatility
- 7.8
- Expected Targets
- 6.7
- Expected Carries
- 0.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 15%
- Top-12 Probability
- 30%
TacoBot expects 6.7 targets and gives him a 15% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 3.4● Median: 10.8● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.1● P90: 22.7 #4 WR
CeeDee Lamb
DAL • vs BAL
12.1Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 12.1
- 80% Range
- 3.3–23.0
- Floor
- 3.3
- Ceiling
- 23.0
- Volatility
- 7.9
- Expected Targets
- 6.6
- Expected Carries
- 0.2
- Top-5 Probability
- 16%
- Top-12 Probability
- 29%
TacoBot expects 6.6 targets and gives him a 16% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 3.3● Median: 10.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.1● P90: 23.0 #5 WR
DeVonta Smith
PHI • vs CHI
11.1Mean Fantasy Points
Most stable- Mean Fantasy Points
- 11.1
- 80% Range
- 2.9–21.2
- Floor
- 2.9
- Ceiling
- 21.2
- Volatility
- 7.3
- Expected Targets
- 6.0
- Expected Carries
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 13%
- Top-12 Probability
- 25%
TacoBot expects 6.0 targets and gives him a 13% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 2.9● Median: 9.7● Mean Fantasy Points: 11.1● P90: 21.2