TACOBOT PROJECTIONS
Week 3 Starters: RB
These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.
These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).
Top 5 RB starters
#1 RB
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET • vs NYJ
17.9Mean Fantasy Points
Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorMost volatileHighest top-5 probability- Mean Fantasy Points
- 17.9
- 80% Range
- 8.0–29.4
- Floor
- 8.0
- Ceiling
- 29.4
- Volatility
- 8.5
- Expected Carries
- 17.5
- Expected Targets
- 4.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 47%
- Top-12 Probability
- 70%
TacoBot expects 4.1 targets and gives him a 47% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 8.0● Median: 16.7● Mean Fantasy Points: 17.9● P90: 29.4 #2 RB
Bijan Robinson
ATL • vs GB
16.1Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 16.1
- 80% Range
- 7.1–27.0
- Floor
- 7.1
- Ceiling
- 27.0
- Volatility
- 8.1
- Expected Carries
- 17.0
- Expected Targets
- 4.4
- Top-5 Probability
- 38%
- Top-12 Probability
- 62%
TacoBot expects 4.4 targets and gives him a 38% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 7.1● Median: 14.7● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.1● P90: 27.0 #3 RB
Christian McCaffrey
SF • vs ARI
15.9Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 15.9
- 80% Range
- 6.2–27.2
- Floor
- 6.2
- Ceiling
- 27.2
- Volatility
- 8.4
- Expected Carries
- 11.3
- Expected Targets
- 4.7
- Top-5 Probability
- 38%
- Top-12 Probability
- 60%
TacoBot expects 4.7 targets and gives him a 38% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 6.2● Median: 14.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.9● P90: 27.2 #4 RB
Jonathan Taylor
IND • vs HOU
13.9Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 13.9
- 80% Range
- 5.6–23.8
- Floor
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 23.8
- Volatility
- 7.4
- Expected Carries
- 16.5
- Expected Targets
- 2.8
- Top-5 Probability
- 27%
- Top-12 Probability
- 50%
TacoBot expects 2.8 targets and gives him a 27% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 5.6● Median: 12.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 13.9● P90: 23.8 #5 RB
Derrick Henry
BAL • vs DAL
12.7Mean Fantasy Points
Most stable- Mean Fantasy Points
- 12.7
- 80% Range
- 4.8–22.6
- Floor
- 4.8
- Ceiling
- 22.6
- Volatility
- 7.2
- Expected Carries
- 16.3
- Expected Targets
- 1.6
- Top-5 Probability
- 23%
- Top-12 Probability
- 44%
TacoBot expects 1.6 targets and gives him a 23% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 4.8● Median: 11.4● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.7● P90: 22.6