← All weekly articles

TACOBOT PROJECTIONS

Week 3 Starters: TE

These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.

These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).

Top 5 TE starters

  1. #1 TE

    George Kittle

    SF • vs ARI

    10.5Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest meanHighest ceilingMost volatileHighest top-5 probability
    Mean Fantasy Points
    10.5
    80% Range
    1.8–21.3
    Floor
    1.8
    Ceiling
    21.3
    Volatility
    8.0
    Expected Targets
    4.7
    Expected Carries
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    32%
    Top-12 Probability
    49%

    TacoBot expects 4.7 targets and gives him a 32% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -157 fantasy points
    ● P10: 1.8● Median: 8.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 10.5● P90: 21.3
  2. #2 TE

    Trey McBride

    ARI • vs SF

    9.7Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest floor
    Mean Fantasy Points
    9.7
    80% Range
    2.9–18.1
    Floor
    2.9
    Ceiling
    18.1
    Volatility
    6.2
    Expected Targets
    6.2
    Expected Carries
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    26%
    Top-12 Probability
    47%

    TacoBot expects 6.2 targets and gives him a 26% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    041 fantasy points
    ● P10: 2.9● Median: 8.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 9.7● P90: 18.1
  3. #3 TE

    Tyler Warren

    IND • vs HOU

    7.9Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    7.9
    80% Range
    1.6–15.9
    Floor
    1.6
    Ceiling
    15.9
    Volatility
    6.0
    Expected Targets
    5.0
    Expected Carries
    0.2
    Top-5 Probability
    17%
    Top-12 Probability
    35%

    TacoBot expects 5.0 targets and gives him a 17% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -055 fantasy points
    ● P10: 1.6● Median: 6.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 7.9● P90: 15.9
  4. #4 TE

    Travis Kelce

    KC • vs MIA

    7.6Mean Fantasy Points

    Most stable
    Mean Fantasy Points
    7.6
    80% Range
    1.4–15.6
    Floor
    1.4
    Ceiling
    15.6
    Volatility
    5.9
    Expected Targets
    4.5
    Expected Carries
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    17%
    Top-12 Probability
    33%

    TacoBot expects 4.5 targets and gives him a 17% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -144 fantasy points
    ● P10: 1.4● Median: 6.4● Mean Fantasy Points: 7.6● P90: 15.6
  5. #5 TE

    Mark Andrews

    BAL • vs DAL

    7.6Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    7.6
    80% Range
    1.1–16.0
    Floor
    1.1
    Ceiling
    16.0
    Volatility
    6.2
    Expected Targets
    4.2
    Expected Carries
    0.2
    Top-5 Probability
    17%
    Top-12 Probability
    33%

    TacoBot expects 4.2 targets and gives him a 17% chance of a top-five TE finish.

    -149 fantasy points
    ● P10: 1.1● Median: 6.2● Mean Fantasy Points: 7.6● P90: 16.0

forecast: 9/23/2026 · model: connected-plays-v1 · run: 20260923T174337058712-d76b3595903e

see full projections