TACOBOT PROJECTIONS
Week 3 Starters
These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.
These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).
Top 5 QB starters
#1 QB
Josh Allen
BUF • vs LAC
18.9Mean Fantasy Points
Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorHighest top-5 probability- Mean Fantasy Points
- 18.9
- 80% Range
- 8.6–29.9
- Floor
- 8.6
- Ceiling
- 29.9
- Volatility
- 8.5
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 31.3
- Expected Carries
- 6.0
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 38%
- Top-12 Probability
- 65%
TacoBot expects 31.3 pass attempts and gives him a 38% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 8.6● Median: 18.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 18.9● P90: 29.9 #2 QB
Marcus Mariota
WAS • vs SEA
15.0Mean Fantasy Points
Most stable- Mean Fantasy Points
- 15.0
- 80% Range
- 6.3–24.5
- Floor
- 6.3
- Ceiling
- 24.5
- Volatility
- 7.1
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 31.5
- Expected Carries
- 3.9
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 19%
- Top-12 Probability
- 44%
TacoBot expects 31.5 pass attempts and gives him a 19% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 6.3● Median: 14.4● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.0● P90: 24.5 #3 QB
Brock Purdy
SF • vs ARI
14.8Mean Fantasy Points
Most volatile- Mean Fantasy Points
- 14.8
- 80% Range
- 0.0–27.2
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 27.2
- Volatility
- 10.1
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 23.7
- Expected Carries
- 2.6
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 27%
- Top-12 Probability
- 50%
TacoBot expects 23.7 pass attempts and gives him a 27% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 0.0● Median: 15.8● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.8● P90: 27.2 #4 QB
Jared Goff
DET • vs NYJ
14.1Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 14.1
- 80% Range
- 0.0–25.2
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 25.2
- Volatility
- 9.1
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 27.6
- Expected Carries
- 2.2
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 22%
- Top-12 Probability
- 46%
TacoBot expects 27.6 pass attempts and gives him a 22% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 0.0● Median: 14.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.1● P90: 25.2 #5 QB
Patrick Mahomes
KC • vs MIA
13.3Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 13.3
- 80% Range
- 0.0–24.9
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 24.9
- Volatility
- 9.2
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 27.7
- Expected Carries
- 2.7
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 20%
- Top-12 Probability
- 42%
TacoBot expects 27.7 pass attempts and gives him a 20% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 0.0● Median: 13.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 13.3● P90: 24.9