Season tracker

Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings

Show go rates and conversions with situation context.

2026 leaderboard

Latest verified results through Week 5.

Latest Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings rankings
Rank	Team	Go rate above baseline (pp)	Fourth-down decisions	Go attempts	Expected go attempts	Previous rank	Weekly movement
1	DET	29.1%	9	4	1.38	6	+5
2	CHI	26.7%	10	5	2.33	14	+12
3	NE	20.7%	5	2	0.96	11	+8
4	LA	18.1%	6	2	0.91	13	+9
5	JAX	17.8%	10	4	2.22	26	+21
6	DAL	13.9%	5	1	0.30	18	+12
7	NO	13.3%	7	3	2.07	1	-6
8	IND	13.2%	11	5	3.55	31	+23
9	LV	13.0%	8	2	0.96	10	+1
10	ARI	12.9%	9	3	1.84	16	+6
11	MIA	11.6%	4	1	0.54	25	+14
12	TEN	8.2%	7	2	1.42	17	+5
13	LAC	5.6%	8	2	1.55	7	-6
14	TB	5.2%	6	1	0.69	5	-9
15	NYG	5.0%	9	2	1.55	29	+14
16	PHI	2.0%	9	2	1.82	3	-13
17	SEA	0.9%	8	1	0.93	24	+7
18	PIT	-1.4%	7	2	2.10	23	+5
19	CLE	-1.5%	11	1	1.17	32	+13
20	GB	-6.2%	8	1	1.50	12	-8
21	BUF	-7.7%	3	0	0.23	20	-1
22	BAL	-8.0%	7	0	0.56	22	0
23	DEN	-9.2%	10	1	1.92	27	+4
24	CIN	-9.2%	4	0	0.37	2	-22
25	ATL	-9.2%	8	1	1.74	21	-4
26	WAS	-11.2%	8	0	0.90	8	-18
27	MIN	-14.2%	6	0	0.85	19	-8
28	NYJ	-14.3%	8	0	1.14	28	0
29	HOU	-16.4%	6	0	0.98	30	+1
30	SF	-22.0%	7	0	1.54	15	-15

Known go, punt and field-goal decisions are compared with prior-only league frequencies in distance, field-position, score and clock buckets, shrunk toward the overall prior rate.
This is a decision-frequency comparison, not an expected-value model.

Data as of October 13, 2026. Source: nflverse play-by-play.