Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings weekly
Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings: Week 5
DET leads the Week 5 edition.
What changed from the prior period
DET moved into the No. 1 spot.
CHI, NE, LA, JAX, DAL, IND, ARI are new to the top 10.
IND recorded the largest raw-value increase (28.55).
CIN recorded the largest raw-value decrease (-36.70).
The Week 5 Board
This edition captures the leading signals from the weekly results. The live ranking table continues to update; this article keeps the week's results in view.
#1
DET
29.07
Up 5 · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 9 · Go attempts: 4 · Expected go attempts: 1.38
#2
CHI
26.73
Up 12 · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 10 · Go attempts: 5 · Expected go attempts: 2.33
#3
NE
20.70
Up 8 · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 5 · Go attempts: 2 · Expected go attempts: 0.96
#4
LA
18.13
Up 9 · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 6 · Go attempts: 2 · Expected go attempts: 0.91
#5
JAX
17.76
Up 21 · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 10 · Go attempts: 4 · Expected go attempts: 2.22
#6
DAL
13.90
Up 12 · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 5 · Go attempts: 1 · Expected go attempts: 0.30
How this ranking works
How to read Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings
- Known go, punt and field-goal decisions are compared with prior-only league frequencies in distance, field-position, score and clock buckets, shrunk toward the overall prior rate.
- This is a decision-frequency comparison, not an expected-value model.
Data as of October 13, 2026. Source: nflverse play-by-play.
View Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings rankings