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Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings weekly

Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings: Week 6

ATL leads the Week 6 edition.

October 20, 2026Final recap · Week 6

What changed from the prior period

ATL moved into the No. 1 spot.

ATL, WAS, SF, GB, TB, LAC are new to the top 10.

ATL recorded the largest raw-value increase (35.98).

CHI recorded the largest raw-value decrease (-43.43).

The Week 6 Board

This edition captures the leading signals from the weekly results. The live ranking table continues to update; this article keeps the week's results in view.

#1

ATL

26.76

Up 24 · Go rate above baseline (pp)

Fourth-down decisions: 7 · Go attempts: 3 · Expected go attempts: 1.13

#2

DAL

24.39

Up 4 · Go rate above baseline (pp)

Fourth-down decisions: 7 · Go attempts: 4 · Expected go attempts: 2.29

#3

WAS

22.30

Up 23 · Go rate above baseline (pp)

Fourth-down decisions: 7 · Go attempts: 3 · Expected go attempts: 1.44

#4

NE

17.15

Down 1 · Go rate above baseline (pp)

Fourth-down decisions: 6 · Go attempts: 2 · Expected go attempts: 0.97

#5

JAX

16.09

No change · Go rate above baseline (pp)

Fourth-down decisions: 4 · Go attempts: 1 · Expected go attempts: 0.36

#6

IND

13.60

Up 2 · Go rate above baseline (pp)

Fourth-down decisions: 7 · Go attempts: 3 · Expected go attempts: 2.05

How this ranking works

How to read Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings

  • Known go, punt and field-goal decisions are compared with prior-only league frequencies in distance, field-position, score and clock buckets, shrunk toward the overall prior rate.
  • This is a decision-frequency comparison, not an expected-value model.

Data as of October 20, 2026. Source: nflverse play-by-play.

View Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings rankings

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