Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings weekly
Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings: Week 2
SEA moved into the top spot in Week 2, leading Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings at 31.73 go rate above baseline (pp).
What changed from the prior period
SEA moved into the No. 1 spot.
SEA, DET, CHI, CAR, PHI, NO, HOU, IND, LV, KC are new to the top 10.
The Week 2 Board
This edition captures the leading signals from the weekly results. The live ranking table continues to update; this article keeps the week's results in view.
#1
SEA
31.73
New this week · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 6 · Go attempts: 3 · Expected go attempts: 1.10
#2
DET
17.51
New this week · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 6 · Go attempts: 2 · Expected go attempts: 0.95
#3
CHI
16.67
New this week · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 9 · Go attempts: 3 · Expected go attempts: 1.50
#4
CAR
14.40
New this week · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 8 · Go attempts: 2 · Expected go attempts: 0.85
#5
PHI
12.28
New this week · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 4 · Go attempts: 1 · Expected go attempts: 0.51
#6
NO
10.96
New this week · Go rate above baseline (pp)
Fourth-down decisions: 7 · Go attempts: 2 · Expected go attempts: 1.23
How this ranking works
How to read Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings
- Known go, punt and field-goal decisions are compared with prior-only league frequencies in distance, field-position, score and clock buckets, shrunk toward the overall prior rate.
- This is a decision-frequency comparison, not an expected-value model.
Data as of September 27, 2026. Source: nflverse play-by-play.
View Fourth-Down Aggressiveness Rankings rankings