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TACOBOT PROJECTIONS

Week 7 Starters: WR

These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.

These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).

Top 5 WR starters

  1. #1 WR

    Amon-Ra St. Brown

    DET • vs GB

    15.4Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorMost volatileHighest top-5 probability
    Mean Fantasy Points
    15.4
    80% Range
    5.3–27.2
    Floor
    5.3
    Ceiling
    27.2
    Volatility
    8.7
    Expected Targets
    7.9
    Expected Carries
    0.1
    Top-5 Probability
    29%
    Top-12 Probability
    48%

    TacoBot expects 7.9 targets and gives him a 29% chance of a top-five WR finish.

    -064 fantasy points
    ● P10: 5.3● Median: 14.2● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.4● P90: 27.2
  2. #2 WR

    Puka Nacua

    LA • vs LV

    14.4Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    14.4
    80% Range
    4.7–25.9
    Floor
    4.7
    Ceiling
    25.9
    Volatility
    8.5
    Expected Targets
    7.2
    Expected Carries
    0.6
    Top-5 Probability
    25%
    Top-12 Probability
    43%

    TacoBot expects 7.2 targets and gives him a 25% chance of a top-five WR finish.

    -173 fantasy points
    ● P10: 4.7● Median: 13.1● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.4● P90: 25.9
  3. #3 WR

    Jaxon Smith-Njigba

    SEA • vs KC

    12.9Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    12.9
    80% Range
    4.0–23.4
    Floor
    4.0
    Ceiling
    23.4
    Volatility
    7.7
    Expected Targets
    7.4
    Expected Carries
    0.2
    Top-5 Probability
    19%
    Top-12 Probability
    36%

    TacoBot expects 7.4 targets and gives him a 19% chance of a top-five WR finish.

    -158 fantasy points
    ● P10: 4.0● Median: 11.7● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.9● P90: 23.4
  4. #4 WR

    CeeDee Lamb

    DAL • vs PHI

    12.1Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    12.1
    80% Range
    3.6–22.2
    Floor
    3.6
    Ceiling
    22.2
    Volatility
    7.5
    Expected Targets
    6.8
    Expected Carries
    0.2
    Top-5 Probability
    16%
    Top-12 Probability
    32%

    TacoBot expects 6.8 targets and gives him a 16% chance of a top-five WR finish.

    -058 fantasy points
    ● P10: 3.6● Median: 10.8● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.1● P90: 22.2
  5. #5 WR

    Malik Nabers

    NYG • vs HOU

    11.3Mean Fantasy Points

    Most stable
    Mean Fantasy Points
    11.3
    80% Range
    3.2–21.1
    Floor
    3.2
    Ceiling
    21.1
    Volatility
    7.2
    Expected Targets
    7.9
    Expected Carries
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    14%
    Top-12 Probability
    28%

    TacoBot expects 7.9 targets and gives him a 14% chance of a top-five WR finish.

    -160 fantasy points
    ● P10: 3.2● Median: 10.0● Mean Fantasy Points: 11.3● P90: 21.1

forecast: 10/20/2026 · cutoff: 2026-10-20T16:03:07.496617+00:00 · model: connected-plays-v3-qb-situational · run: 20261020T160805359801-2d16057a3e1e

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