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TACOBOT PROJECTIONS

Week 7 Starters

These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.

These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).

Top 5 QB starters

  1. #1 QB

    Drake Maye

    NE • vs CHI

    18.8Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest top-5 probability
    Mean Fantasy Points
    18.8
    80% Range
    8.6–29.2
    Floor
    8.6
    Ceiling
    29.2
    Volatility
    8.1
    Expected Pass Attempts
    28.4
    Expected Carries
    3.6
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    38%
    Top-12 Probability
    66%

    TacoBot expects 28.4 pass attempts and gives him a 38% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -455 fantasy points
    ● P10: 8.6● Median: 18.7● Mean Fantasy Points: 18.8● P90: 29.2
  2. #2 QB

    Jared Goff

    DET • vs GB

    17.8Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest floor
    Mean Fantasy Points
    17.8
    80% Range
    8.7–27.4
    Floor
    8.7
    Ceiling
    27.4
    Volatility
    7.4
    Expected Pass Attempts
    32.4
    Expected Carries
    1.7
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    32%
    Top-12 Probability
    62%

    TacoBot expects 32.4 pass attempts and gives him a 32% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -252 fantasy points
    ● P10: 8.7● Median: 17.5● Mean Fantasy Points: 17.8● P90: 27.4
  3. #3 QB

    C.J. Stroud

    HOU • vs NYG

    17.4Mean Fantasy Points

    Most volatile
    Mean Fantasy Points
    17.4
    80% Range
    6.3–28.1
    Floor
    6.3
    Ceiling
    28.1
    Volatility
    8.6
    Expected Pass Attempts
    29.8
    Expected Carries
    2.2
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    33%
    Top-12 Probability
    60%

    TacoBot expects 29.8 pass attempts and gives him a 33% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -153 fantasy points
    ● P10: 6.3● Median: 17.5● Mean Fantasy Points: 17.4● P90: 28.1
  4. #4 QB

    Jordan Love

    GB • vs DET

    16.9Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    16.9
    80% Range
    7.8–26.6
    Floor
    7.8
    Ceiling
    26.6
    Volatility
    7.4
    Expected Pass Attempts
    31.0
    Expected Carries
    1.9
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    27%
    Top-12 Probability
    56%

    TacoBot expects 31.0 pass attempts and gives him a 27% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -346 fantasy points
    ● P10: 7.8● Median: 16.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.9● P90: 26.6
  5. #5 QB

    Patrick Mahomes

    KC • vs SEA

    16.0Mean Fantasy Points

    Most stable
    Mean Fantasy Points
    16.0
    80% Range
    7.0–25.4
    Floor
    7.0
    Ceiling
    25.4
    Volatility
    7.3
    Expected Pass Attempts
    34.0
    Expected Carries
    3.1
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    24%
    Top-12 Probability
    52%

    TacoBot expects 34.0 pass attempts and gives him a 24% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -451 fantasy points
    ● P10: 7.0● Median: 15.8● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.0● P90: 25.4

forecast: 10/20/2026 · cutoff: 2026-10-20T16:03:07.496617+00:00 · model: connected-plays-v3-qb-situational · run: 20261020T160805359801-2d16057a3e1e

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