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TACOBOT PROJECTIONS

Week 7 Starters: RB

These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.

These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).

Top 5 RB starters

  1. #1 RB

    Jahmyr Gibbs

    DET • vs GB

    20.2Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorMost volatileHighest top-5 probability
    Mean Fantasy Points
    20.2
    80% Range
    9.0–33.1
    Floor
    9.0
    Ceiling
    33.1
    Volatility
    9.5
    Expected Carries
    17.6
    Expected Targets
    4.4
    Top-5 Probability
    54%
    Top-12 Probability
    76%

    TacoBot expects 4.4 targets and gives him a 54% chance of a top-five RB finish.

    -174 fantasy points
    ● P10: 9.0● Median: 19.1● Mean Fantasy Points: 20.2● P90: 33.1
  2. #2 RB

    Christian McCaffrey

    SF • vs ATL

    15.1Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    15.1
    80% Range
    5.7–26.4
    Floor
    5.7
    Ceiling
    26.4
    Volatility
    8.2
    Expected Carries
    12.1
    Expected Targets
    4.0
    Top-5 Probability
    32%
    Top-12 Probability
    54%

    TacoBot expects 4.0 targets and gives him a 32% chance of a top-five RB finish.

    -168 fantasy points
    ● P10: 5.7● Median: 13.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.1● P90: 26.4
  3. #3 RB

    Bijan Robinson

    ATL • vs SF

    14.9Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    14.9
    80% Range
    6.0–25.5
    Floor
    6.0
    Ceiling
    25.5
    Volatility
    7.8
    Expected Carries
    15.5
    Expected Targets
    3.6
    Top-5 Probability
    30%
    Top-12 Probability
    53%

    TacoBot expects 3.6 targets and gives him a 30% chance of a top-five RB finish.

    -163 fantasy points
    ● P10: 6.0● Median: 13.7● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.9● P90: 25.5
  4. #4 RB

    Chuba Hubbard

    CAR • vs TB

    14.4Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    14.4
    80% Range
    5.7–24.9
    Floor
    5.7
    Ceiling
    24.9
    Volatility
    7.7
    Expected Carries
    19.6
    Expected Targets
    2.0
    Top-5 Probability
    27%
    Top-12 Probability
    51%

    TacoBot expects 2.0 targets and gives him a 27% chance of a top-five RB finish.

    -262 fantasy points
    ● P10: 5.7● Median: 13.1● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.4● P90: 24.9
  5. #5 RB

    Derrick Henry

    BAL • vs CIN

    12.9Mean Fantasy Points

    Most stable
    Mean Fantasy Points
    12.9
    80% Range
    4.6–23.1
    Floor
    4.6
    Ceiling
    23.1
    Volatility
    7.4
    Expected Carries
    16.9
    Expected Targets
    1.3
    Top-5 Probability
    22%
    Top-12 Probability
    43%

    TacoBot expects 1.3 targets and gives him a 22% chance of a top-five RB finish.

    -251 fantasy points
    ● P10: 4.6● Median: 11.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.9● P90: 23.1

forecast: 10/20/2026 · cutoff: 2026-10-20T16:03:07.496617+00:00 · model: connected-plays-v3-qb-situational · run: 20261020T160805359801-2d16057a3e1e

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