TACOBOT PROJECTIONS
Week 4 Starters: WR
These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.
These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).
Top 5 WR starters
#1 WR
Ja'Marr Chase
CIN • vs JAX
15.3Mean Fantasy Points
Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorMost volatileHighest top-5 probability- Mean Fantasy Points
- 15.3
- 80% Range
- 5.1–27.4
- Floor
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 27.4
- Volatility
- 8.9
- Expected Targets
- 8.1
- Expected Carries
- 0.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 28%
- Top-12 Probability
- 45%
TacoBot expects 8.1 targets and gives him a 28% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 5.1● Median: 14.0● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.3● P90: 27.4 #2 WR
Amon-Ra St. Brown
DET • vs CAR
14.8Mean Fantasy Points
Highest floor- Mean Fantasy Points
- 14.8
- 80% Range
- 5.1–26.1
- Floor
- 5.1
- Ceiling
- 26.1
- Volatility
- 8.4
- Expected Targets
- 7.8
- Expected Carries
- 0.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 25%
- Top-12 Probability
- 43%
TacoBot expects 7.8 targets and gives him a 25% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 5.1● Median: 13.5● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.8● P90: 26.1 #3 WR
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
SEA • vs LAC
12.2Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 12.2
- 80% Range
- 3.6–22.4
- Floor
- 3.6
- Ceiling
- 22.4
- Volatility
- 7.5
- Expected Targets
- 6.9
- Expected Carries
- 0.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 16%
- Top-12 Probability
- 30%
TacoBot expects 6.9 targets and gives him a 16% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 3.6● Median: 10.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.2● P90: 22.4 #4 WR
Tee Higgins
CIN • vs JAX
11.2Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 11.2
- 80% Range
- 2.5–21.7
- Floor
- 2.5
- Ceiling
- 21.7
- Volatility
- 7.8
- Expected Targets
- 6.1
- Expected Carries
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 14%
- Top-12 Probability
- 26%
TacoBot expects 6.1 targets and gives him a 14% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 2.5● Median: 9.8● Mean Fantasy Points: 11.2● P90: 21.7 #5 WR
Garrett Wilson
NYJ • vs CHI
11.1Mean Fantasy Points
Most stable- Mean Fantasy Points
- 11.1
- 80% Range
- 3.1–20.8
- Floor
- 3.1
- Ceiling
- 20.8
- Volatility
- 7.1
- Expected Targets
- 7.2
- Expected Carries
- 0.1
- Top-5 Probability
- 12%
- Top-12 Probability
- 25%
TacoBot expects 7.2 targets and gives him a 12% chance of a top-five WR finish.
● P10: 3.1● Median: 10.0● Mean Fantasy Points: 11.1● P90: 20.8