TACOBOT PROJECTIONS
Week 4 Starters: RB
These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.
These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).
Top 5 RB starters
#1 RB
Jahmyr Gibbs
DET • vs CAR
18.2Mean Fantasy Points
Highest meanHighest ceilingHighest floorMost volatileHighest top-5 probability- Mean Fantasy Points
- 18.2
- 80% Range
- 8.1–30.0
- Floor
- 8.1
- Ceiling
- 30.0
- Volatility
- 8.7
- Expected Carries
- 17.0
- Expected Targets
- 4.4
- Top-5 Probability
- 50%
- Top-12 Probability
- 72%
TacoBot expects 4.4 targets and gives him a 50% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 8.1● Median: 16.9● Mean Fantasy Points: 18.2● P90: 30.0 #2 RB
Bijan Robinson
ATL • vs NO
15.2Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 15.2
- 80% Range
- 6.6–25.5
- Floor
- 6.6
- Ceiling
- 25.5
- Volatility
- 7.6
- Expected Carries
- 16.4
- Expected Targets
- 4.2
- Top-5 Probability
- 36%
- Top-12 Probability
- 59%
TacoBot expects 4.2 targets and gives him a 36% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 6.6● Median: 14.0● Mean Fantasy Points: 15.2● P90: 25.5 #3 RB
Christian McCaffrey
SF • vs DEN
14.9Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 14.9
- 80% Range
- 5.6–25.9
- Floor
- 5.6
- Ceiling
- 25.9
- Volatility
- 8.1
- Expected Carries
- 11.0
- Expected Targets
- 4.7
- Top-5 Probability
- 35%
- Top-12 Probability
- 56%
TacoBot expects 4.7 targets and gives him a 35% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 5.6● Median: 13.5● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.9● P90: 25.9 #4 RB
Chase Brown
CIN • vs JAX
13.4Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 13.4
- 80% Range
- 5.2–23.5
- Floor
- 5.2
- Ceiling
- 23.5
- Volatility
- 7.3
- Expected Carries
- 12.0
- Expected Targets
- 3.8
- Top-5 Probability
- 28%
- Top-12 Probability
- 49%
TacoBot expects 3.8 targets and gives him a 28% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 5.2● Median: 12.2● Mean Fantasy Points: 13.4● P90: 23.5 #5 RB
Derrick Henry
BAL • vs TEN
11.9Mean Fantasy Points
Most stable- Mean Fantasy Points
- 11.9
- 80% Range
- 4.6–20.8
- Floor
- 4.6
- Ceiling
- 20.8
- Volatility
- 6.7
- Expected Carries
- 16.9
- Expected Targets
- 1.3
- Top-5 Probability
- 20%
- Top-12 Probability
- 40%
TacoBot expects 1.3 targets and gives him a 20% chance of a top-five RB finish.
● P10: 4.6● Median: 10.6● Mean Fantasy Points: 11.9● P90: 20.8