TACOBOT PROJECTIONS
Week 4 Starters
These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.
These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).
Top 5 QB starters
#1 QB
Jared Goff
DET • vs CAR
14.0Mean Fantasy Points
Highest mean- Mean Fantasy Points
- 14.0
- 80% Range
- 0.0–25.3
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 25.3
- Volatility
- 9.1
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 27.3
- Expected Carries
- 2.3
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 23%
- Top-12 Probability
- 47%
TacoBot expects 27.3 pass attempts and gives him a 23% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 0.0● Median: 14.8● Mean Fantasy Points: 14.0● P90: 25.3 #2 QB
Brock Purdy
SF • vs DEN
13.6Mean Fantasy Points
Highest ceilingMost volatileHighest top-5 probability- Mean Fantasy Points
- 13.6
- 80% Range
- 0.0–25.6
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 25.6
- Volatility
- 9.5
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 23.6
- Expected Carries
- 2.4
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 23%
- Top-12 Probability
- 45%
TacoBot expects 23.6 pass attempts and gives him a 23% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 0.0● Median: 14.3● Mean Fantasy Points: 13.6● P90: 25.6 #3 QB
Justin Herbert
LAC • vs SEA
13.0Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 13.0
- 80% Range
- 0.0–24.0
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 24.0
- Volatility
- 8.6
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 28.8
- Expected Carries
- 2.8
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 18%
- Top-12 Probability
- 40%
TacoBot expects 28.8 pass attempts and gives him a 18% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 0.0● Median: 13.3● Mean Fantasy Points: 13.0● P90: 24.0 #4 QB
Bryce Young
CAR • vs DET
12.8Mean Fantasy Points
Highest floorMost stable- Mean Fantasy Points
- 12.8
- 80% Range
- 4.2–22.1
- Floor
- 4.2
- Ceiling
- 22.1
- Volatility
- 7.1
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 30.7
- Expected Carries
- 2.9
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 13%
- Top-12 Probability
- 33%
TacoBot expects 30.7 pass attempts and gives him a 13% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 4.2● Median: 12.3● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.8● P90: 22.1 #5 QB
Patrick Mahomes
KC • vs LV
12.6Mean Fantasy Points
- Mean Fantasy Points
- 12.6
- 80% Range
- 0.0–24.3
- Floor
- 0.0
- Ceiling
- 24.3
- Volatility
- 9.1
- Expected Pass Attempts
- 27.2
- Expected Carries
- 2.3
- Expected Targets
- 0.0
- Top-5 Probability
- 19%
- Top-12 Probability
- 40%
TacoBot expects 27.2 pass attempts and gives him a 19% chance of a top-five QB finish.
● P10: 0.0● Median: 13.1● Mean Fantasy Points: 12.6● P90: 24.3