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TACOBOT PROJECTIONS

Week 6 Starters

These 5 Players are projected by TacoBot to be top 5 in their position this week.

These rankings come from TacoBot's weekly projections. Floor and ceiling are P10 and P90 (see distributions).

Top 5 QB starters

  1. #1 QB

    Josh Allen

    BUF • vs LV

    17.5Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest meanHighest floor
    Mean Fantasy Points
    17.5
    80% Range
    8.0–27.5
    Floor
    8.0
    Ceiling
    27.5
    Volatility
    7.7
    Expected Pass Attempts
    30.6
    Expected Carries
    4.5
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    31%
    Top-12 Probability
    59%

    TacoBot expects 30.6 pass attempts and gives him a 31% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -259 fantasy points
    ● P10: 8.0● Median: 17.2● Mean Fantasy Points: 17.5● P90: 27.5
  2. #2 QB

    Brock Purdy

    SF • vs WAS

    16.8Mean Fantasy Points

    Highest ceilingMost volatileHighest top-5 probability
    Mean Fantasy Points
    16.8
    80% Range
    0.0–28.1
    Floor
    0.0
    Ceiling
    28.1
    Volatility
    9.2
    Expected Pass Attempts
    24.5
    Expected Carries
    2.9
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    32%
    Top-12 Probability
    59%

    TacoBot expects 24.5 pass attempts and gives him a 32% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -254 fantasy points
    ● P10: 0.0● Median: 17.4● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.8● P90: 28.1
  3. #3 QB

    Matthew Stafford

    LA • vs ARI

    16.5Mean Fantasy Points

    Most stable
    Mean Fantasy Points
    16.5
    80% Range
    7.7–25.9
    Floor
    7.7
    Ceiling
    25.9
    Volatility
    7.1
    Expected Pass Attempts
    32.0
    Expected Carries
    1.7
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    25%
    Top-12 Probability
    54%

    TacoBot expects 32.0 pass attempts and gives him a 25% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -452 fantasy points
    ● P10: 7.7● Median: 16.1● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.5● P90: 25.9
  4. #4 QB

    Drake Maye

    NE • vs NYJ

    16.5Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    16.5
    80% Range
    7.0–26.2
    Floor
    7.0
    Ceiling
    26.2
    Volatility
    7.6
    Expected Pass Attempts
    29.2
    Expected Carries
    3.8
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    26%
    Top-12 Probability
    54%

    TacoBot expects 29.2 pass attempts and gives him a 26% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -353 fantasy points
    ● P10: 7.0● Median: 16.2● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.5● P90: 26.2
  5. #5 QB

    Jordan Love

    GB • vs DAL

    16.4Mean Fantasy Points

    Mean Fantasy Points
    16.4
    80% Range
    7.5–25.8
    Floor
    7.5
    Ceiling
    25.8
    Volatility
    7.2
    Expected Pass Attempts
    31.4
    Expected Carries
    2.0
    Expected Targets
    0.0
    Top-5 Probability
    25%
    Top-12 Probability
    53%

    TacoBot expects 31.4 pass attempts and gives him a 25% chance of a top-five QB finish.

    -448 fantasy points
    ● P10: 7.5● Median: 16.1● Mean Fantasy Points: 16.4● P90: 25.8

forecast: 10/13/2026 · model: connected-plays-v3-qb-situational · run: 20261013T124554208883-c6d044aa4f39

see full projections