TacoBot xFP weekly
TacoBot xFP: Week 2
Ashton Jeanty left the biggest gap between opportunity and scoring in Week 2. Jaxon Smith-Njigba beat his opportunity value by the most.
Week 2 Recap
Ashton Jeanty scored 10.3 FP from opportunities worth 29.4 TacoBot xFP, leaving 19.0 points on the field. That value came from 28 modeled opportunities.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba went above his opportunity value: 42.5 actual FP against 21.8 xFP, a 20.7-point surplus. His 11 opportunities put the result in context. The gap describes this week's scoring; it does not guarantee what happens next.
Scoring Above & Below xFP
The five biggest surpluses and five biggest shortfalls in Week 2, together on one graph. Difference = Actual FP − TacoBot xFP.
Hover, tap or focus a player's bar to see Actual FP and xFP.
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEA · WR
- Actual FP
- 42.5
- TacoBot xFP
- 21.8
- Difference
- +20.7
Davante AdamsLA · WR
- Actual FP
- 39.5
- TacoBot xFP
- 19.4
- Difference
- +20.0
CeeDee LambDAL · WR
- Actual FP
- 35.3
- TacoBot xFP
- 20.0
- Difference
- +15.3
Josh AllenBUF · QB
- Actual FP
- 41.1
- TacoBot xFP
- 27.6
- Difference
- +13.5
Ryan MillerMIA · WR
- Actual FP
- 14.7
- TacoBot xFP
- 1.3
- Difference
- +13.4
J.K. DobbinsDEN · RB
- Actual FP
- 3.6
- TacoBot xFP
- 14.3
- Difference
- −10.7
Terry McLaurinWAS · WR
- Actual FP
- 7.0
- TacoBot xFP
- 19.5
- Difference
- −12.5
Kenneth Walker IIIKC · RB
- Actual FP
- 23.8
- TacoBot xFP
- 36.7
- Difference
- −12.9
Emanuel WilsonSEA · RB
- Actual FP
- 9.2
- TacoBot xFP
- 23.0
- Difference
- −13.8
Ashton JeantyLV · RB
- Actual FP
- 10.3
- TacoBot xFP
- 29.4
- Difference
- −19.0
Follow the Opportunities
The Most Valuable Workloads
The highest total TacoBot xFP at each position on this week's published board. Opportunity value reflects volume and situation, whether or not the final score matched it.
QB · xFP Leader
Bryce Young
CAR · QB
- TacoBot xFP
- 30.9
- Actual FP
- 24.1
- Opportunities
- 37
RB · xFP Leader
Kenneth Walker III
KC · RB
- TacoBot xFP
- 36.7
- Actual FP
- 23.8
- Opportunities
- 34
WR · xFP Leader
DeVonta Smith
PHI · WR
- TacoBot xFP
- 24.5
- Actual FP
- 27.7
- Opportunities
- 13
TE · xFP Leader
Dalton Schultz
HOU · TE
- TacoBot xFP
- 21.0
- Actual FP
- 26.0
- Opportunities
- 14
Both xFP and Actual FP use TacoBot's PPR scoring on modeled carries, targets and pass attempts. Turnover deductions, return scoring and other unmodeled plays are outside this comparison, so Actual FP can differ from a league's full fantasy score. A dash means the stat is unavailable.
How this ranking works
How to read TacoBot xFP
- TacoBot xFP estimates the historical value of modeled carries, targets and pass attempts using field position, down, distance and game situation. Targets and pass attempts can also use air yards and end-zone location.
- Points Left = TacoBot xFP − Actual FP. Positive values mean scoring fell below opportunity value; negative values mean scoring exceeded it.
- xFP values the opportunities that actually occurred. It is not a pregame forecast, and play outcomes and win probability do not set the expected value.
- Actual FP uses the same modeled opportunities and TacoBot PPR scoring. Turnover deductions, returns and unmodeled plays are outside this comparison, so league totals may differ.
- A scoring gap describes this week. It does not establish the cause of the gap or guarantee a rebound or regression.
Data as of September 28, 2026. Source: nflverse play-by-play.
View TacoBot xFP rankings