Most Predictable Offenses weekly
Most Predictable Offenses: Week 6
BAL leads the Week 6 edition.
What changed from the prior period
BAL moved into the No. 1 spot.
LA, NO, KC, DEN, TEN are new to the top 10.
DEN recorded the largest raw-value increase (6.42).
CLE recorded the largest raw-value decrease (-11.01).
The Week 6 Board
This edition captures the leading signals from the weekly results. The live ranking table continues to update; this article keeps the week's results in view.
#1
BAL
63.45
Up 1 · Predictability
Share stability (%): 80.66 · Share concentration (%): 23.29 · Mean share change (%): 19.3%
- Derrick Henry: 0 opportunities, 34.0% of team
- Zay Flowers: 0 opportunities, 22.6% of team
- Josh Cuevas: 0 opportunities, 9.4% of team
#2
ATL
61.93
Down 1 · Predictability
Share stability (%): 78.30 · Share concentration (%): 23.75 · Mean share change (%): 21.7%
- Bijan Robinson: 0 opportunities, 23.4% of team
- Drake London: 0 opportunities, 23.4% of team
- Kyle Pitts: 0 opportunities, 14.9% of team
#3
PIT
59.82
Up 4 · Predictability
Share stability (%): 75.95 · Share concentration (%): 22.17 · Mean share change (%): 24.1%
- Jaylen Warren: 0 opportunities, 27.7% of team
- DK Metcalf: 0 opportunities, 23.1% of team
- Germie Bernard: 0 opportunities, 18.5% of team
#4
SF
59.15
Up 6 · Predictability
Share stability (%): 75.42 · Share concentration (%): 21.20 · Mean share change (%): 24.6%
- Christian McCaffrey: 0 opportunities, 44.8% of team
- Kaelon Black: 0 opportunities, 15.5% of team
- George Kittle: 0 opportunities, 13.8% of team
#5
LA
58.62
Up 6 · Predictability
Share stability (%): 74.85 · Share concentration (%): 20.76 · Mean share change (%): 25.1%
- Kyren Williams: 0 opportunities, 30.8% of team
- Blake Corum: 0 opportunities, 21.1% of team
- Puka Nacua: 0 opportunities, 13.5% of team
#6
JAX
58.56
Up 2 · Predictability
Share stability (%): 75.87 · Share concentration (%): 18.17 · Mean share change (%): 24.1%
- Bhayshul Tuten: 0 opportunities, 23.9% of team
- Chris Rodriguez Jr.: 0 opportunities, 17.9% of team
- Parker Washington: 0 opportunities, 16.4% of team
How this ranking works
How to read Most Predictable Offenses
- Four observed weeks of player opportunity shares are compared by total-variation distance and share concentration.
- The score weights stability 70% and concentration 30%.
- each week needs at least 20 identified opportunities.
Data as of October 20, 2026. Source: nflverse play-by-play.
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